Wednesday, July 13, 2011

Why the Prayer Study Fails

After having read the entire study, I found a few major problems which introduced unknown variables. It may be interesting to note that the writers of the study were completely aware of this, acknowledged it, and were the ones who pointed it out to me. (Again shoot me an email for the entire study, tomsilvertyre@hotmail.com)

Here are the reasons that I do not find the prayer study's conclusions compelling.

  1. According to the study, "The overall daily mean of intercessors was 33
    (range 10-58). Intercessors reported praying from 30 seconds
    to several hours, from 1 to 4 times per day."
  2. There was likely a large amount of non-study prayer which was not recorded- Prayer from family, friends, and congregations, prayer for 'the sick in general' from people all over the world, and prayer for one's self.
  3. There were three groups which prayed. Two of the groups were Catholic nuns and friars (this is not a problem). The third group was listed as 'Protestant,' but after further examination I do not think they are Christians. I discount prayers from the third group because I am interested in the question "do Christian's prayers effect healing," not "do prayers from non-Christian groups effect healing." I realize there could be debate on this third point, and if so let me know! I will do a post on it for clarification.

I think the study says it the best. (Does anyone know if I am infringing on copyright for making such a large quote? )

We did not request that subjects alter any plans for
family, friends, and/or members of their religious
institutions to pray for them, because to do so would
have been unethical and impractical. At enrollment,
most subjects did expect to receive prayers from others
regardless of their participation in the study. We also
recognize that subjects may have prayed for themselves.
Thus, our study subjects may have been exposed to a
large amount of non–study prayer, and this could have
made it more difficult to detect the effects of prayer
provided by the intercessors.
The finding that intercessory prayer, as provided in
this study, had no effect on complication-free recovery
from CABG may be due to the study limitations.
Understanding why certainty of receiving intercessory
prayer was associated with a higher incidence of
complications will require additional study.
Private or family prayer is widely believed to influence
recovery from illness, and the results of this study do not
challenge this belief. Our study focused only on
intercessory prayer as provided in this trial and was
never intended to and cannot address a large number of
religious questions, such as whether God exists,
whether God answers intercessory prayers, or whether
prayers from one religious group work in the same way
as prayers from other groups.


Conclusion:
I do not find the study to be compelling evidence against the power of prayer due to key limitations. The number of intercessors (22-33 per day) is small enough to be subject to the introduction of significant error based on prayers from outside sources (unknown per day).

Other questions such as 'does the intercessor's relationship to the patient correlate to the effectiveness of prayer?' 'Does the amount of time praying have an effect on God's response?' and 'Does the intensity with which one prays effect God's response?' have been unanswered at this point.

I would love to see the results of future studies on prayer. Hopefully the problems that occurred in this study will not be repeated, and better conclusions can be drawn.
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Let me know what you think!

2 comments:

  1. There was nothing wrong with the study. The issues you cite are only "problems" for the study that you want to do... a very different study from the one they did. They wanted to find out if ANY prayer made a difference and it did not.

    Prayers by non-Christians should not negate the prayers of Christians. Basically, it didn't matter who prayed or for how long.

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    Replies
    1. Hi!
      Thanks for your comment, anon.

      I wrote this post quite a long lime ago, and many of my ideas and beliefs have changed since then. I personally don't think that prayer is effective, however, as a scientist studying climate change and ecology, I do have some problems with the experimental design. What do you think about the following?

      -There is a 'total' amount of prayer that takes place in the world for the sick. This prayer is either specific or general.

      In order to determine if the results of the prayer study are statistically relevant, we need to know not only how many people were recruited to pray as part of the study, but how many people are praying for the sick in the world in general.

      X = the number of people praying because of the study
      Y = the number of people praying for the sick in general around the globe.

      The actual number of people praying for the patients is not, X. It is X + Y. The study only took into account X.

      If Y is greater than X, which it is, we will have a gigantic amount of background prayer. Do you think that God would simply ignore those other prayers? If he did, then the overall good that would be done to patients would actually decrease because of the study, thereby harming people.

      In order to improve the study, there can't be background prayer. I propose that a study be done on something that no one else is praying about. That way the effect, or lack there of, of only the people recruited to pray by the study will be observed.

      -JTS

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